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AFL

Adam Cerra

Carlton

+3.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -455 (1.22)
+3.9% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
85.8%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+3.9%
Predicted Value
23.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Adam Cerra (Carlton) Over 18.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Adam Cerra from the Carlton Blues stands out for this Sunday's clash against Melbourne at the MCG. Cerra has been a midfield maestro in recent home games, averaging a whopping 24.4 disposals, surpassing the 18.5 line comfortably. His efficiency at 69.0% showcases his ability to make those possessions count. With a solid track record against Melbourne, where he has averaged 23 disposals, Cerra is poised to dominate the contest. His recent form, including a current hit streak of four games, further solidifies his reliability. Expect Cerra to thrive in front of the home crowd and surpass the line with ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 60.0% (3/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 19.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals 19.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
26 Jun 25 Carlton Blues @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Adam Cerra (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (3/5). The latest model pick for Adam Cerra is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.