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AFL

Adam Treloar

Western Bulldogs

+11.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -588 (1.17)
+11.6% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sat 14 Mar, 2:15AM
Model Probability
97.1%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+11.6%
Predicted Value
26.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Adam Treloar (Western Bulldogs) Over 16.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to locking in an AFL player prop bet, you want a reliable performer, someone who consistently delivers when the pressure's on. Enter Adam Treloar, the midfield maestro for the Western Bulldogs. Treloar's recent form at home has been nothing short of impressive, averaging over 21 disposals in his last five games at Marvel Stadium. Against their upcoming opponents, the GWS Giants, he has been even more prolific, averaging over 27 disposals in their last five encounters. With a model predicting Treloar to hit 26 disposals in this game, comfortably over the bookmaker's line of 16.5, the smart money is on Treloar to once again boss the midfield and rack up the possessions. In a matchup where he historically thrives, expect Treloar to continue his hot streak and surpass the 16.5 disposal mark with ease.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 57.1% (4/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
14 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 18.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 23.5 Over -116 ✗ MISS
22 Jun 25 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
12 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending
12 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Adam Treloar (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 57.1% (4/7). The latest model pick for Adam Treloar is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.6% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday 14 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.