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AFL

Alex Davies

Gold Coast SUNS

+7.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -200 (1.50)
+7.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+7.6%
Predicted Value
17.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Alex Davies (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alex Davies is poised to excel in disposals against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With a strong model prediction of 17.8 disposals and a 7.6% edge, his consistent statistics in contested possessions, kicks, and handballs, averaging 17.2 disposals in his last five away games, make the Over 14.5 a compelling bet. Davies' impressive 63.2% disposal efficiency and a hit streak of 5/5 away games further support his potential to surpass the line. Facing an opponent where he has averaged 16.3 disposals in their last encounters, Davies is likely to continue his dominance in this matchup, making the Over a smart choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Alex Davies (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Alex Davies is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.