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AFL

Ben Ainsworth

Gold Coast SUNS

+0.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -400 (1.25)
+0.6% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
80.6%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+0.6%
Predicted Value
13.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Ben Ainsworth (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ben Ainsworth is poised to excel against the Brisbane Lions based on his recent form. With an average of 11.2 disposals in his last five away games and an impressive 12.5 disposals against the Lions in their previous encounters, Ainsworth is likely to surpass the set line of 9.5 disposals. His consistency in contested possessions, kicks, and metres gained further strengthens this bet. Despite a current hit streak of 0, Ainsworth boasts a solid away game hit rate of 10/12, indicating his reliability in meeting or exceeding performance expectations. These factors, coupled with his overall hit rate of 11/12, make Ainsworth a favorable choice to secure over 9.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 9.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -135 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Ben Ainsworth (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Ben Ainsworth is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.