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AFL

Ben Long

Gold Coast SUNS

+8.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+8.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 21 Mar, 2:15AM
Model Probability
93.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+8.0%
Predicted Value
1.7 Goals

AI Analysis

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Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Goals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy punters, let's dive into why Ben Long is a solid bet to snag a goal in the upcoming clash between the Gold Coast Suns and the Richmond Tigers at the MCG. Over his last five away games, Long has been on fire, averaging 1.6 goals per game, showing he's got a knack for finding the big sticks consistently. Plus, with an average of 3.2 shots at goal and a 35.0% goal accuracy in away matches, he's not shy about having a crack when the opportunity arises. Facing Richmond, a team he's already been bagging goals against, averaging 1.8 goals in his last five matchups, Long seems primed to keep the scoreboard ticking. With an implied probability of 85.5% and a model edge of 8.0%, backing Ben Long to go over 0.5 goals is a punt worth taking.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals 0.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Goals 1.5 Over -149 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Ben Long (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Ben Long is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 21 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.