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AFL

Brad Close

Geelong Cats

+19.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -108 (1.93)
+19.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
71.6%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+19.8%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

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Brad Close (Geelong Cats) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brad Close, with a model-predicted 0.9 goals and recent form averaging 0.8 goals in his last 5 home games, shows a consistent ability to hit the scoreboard. His 28.3% goal accuracy and 3.4 inside 50s per game further support his scoring potential against Brisbane Lions, where he averages 0.4 goals in his last 5 matchups. The Over 0.5 goal line for Close presents a favorable opportunity given his recent goal-scoring form, strong involvement in creating scoring opportunities, and the model's 19.8% edge, making him a solid choice to snag a goal in this AFL clash at the MCG, Victoria.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -108 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Brad Close (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Brad Close is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.