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AFL

Brandon Starcevich

Brisbane Lions

+0.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -208 (1.48)
+0.8% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
68.4%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+0.8%
Predicted Value
11.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Brandon Starcevich (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-208)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brandon Starcevich is poised to shine against Geelong Cats based on his recent form. With a solid 11.4 disposals per game in his last five away matches and an average of 11.8 disposals overall, he consistently meets or exceeds the 9.5 disposals line. His current hit streak of 5 and high disposalefficiency of 70.1% ensure he's a reliable performer. Starcevich's 11.8 disposals per game against this opponent further support this bet. His ability to snag 8.4 kicks and 3 handballs on average, along with 5 intercepts, positions him well to surpass the line. Trust in his form and impact to deliver over 9.5 disposals in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -208 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 10.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 9.5 Over -204 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Brandon Starcevich (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Brandon Starcevich is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.