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AFL

Brodie Kemp

Carlton

+8.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -323 (1.31)
+8.4% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
84.8%
Implied Probability
76.3%
Model Edge
+8.4%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Brodie Kemp (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Brodie Kemp to snag over 0.5 goals against Melbourne at the MCG, the numbers paint a pretty compelling picture. Over his last five home games, Kemp has been a consistent scoring threat, averaging 1.6 goals per game. His accuracy sits at a solid 56.7%, and he's been getting involved in the Blues' forward movements with 1.8 marks inside 50 and 4.8 score involvements per game. With an average of 2.6 shots on goal in his last five home matches, Kemp has shown a knack for finding opportunities to split the middle. Facing Melbourne, against whom he's averaged a goal per game in his last five matchups, Kemp's form and history make the Over 0.5 goals bet a tantalizing prospect.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Brodie Kemp (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Brodie Kemp is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.4% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.