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AFL

Brodie Smith

Adelaide Crows

+1.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -227 (1.44)
+1.7% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Hawthorn Hawks
University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston
Fri 13 Jun, 9:40AM
Model Probability
71.1%
Implied Probability
69.4%
Model Edge
+1.7%
Predicted Value
17.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Brodie Smith (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brodie Smith is a solid bet to go Over 14.5 disposals against Hawthorn due to his recent form and historical performance against them. With a model prediction of 17.3 disposals and a consistent L5 average of 18.2 disposals in away games, Smith's reliability is evident. Additionally, his favorable L5 stats against Hawthorn (19.2 disposals) and his high disposalefficiency (73.5%) further support this bet. Smith's exceptional consistency, highlighted by his 14-game hit streak in away games, makes him a reliable choice to surpass the 14.5 disposals line. Considering his track record and current form, the Over on Brodie Smith's disposals is a logical pick for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 14.5 Over -227 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Brodie Smith (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Brodie Smith is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.7% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Hawthorn Hawks on Friday 13 June at University of Tasmania Stadium, Launceston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.