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AFL

Bruce Reville

Brisbane Lions

+13.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 12.5 -122 (1.82)
+13.3% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
68.3%
Implied Probability
54.9%
Model Edge
+13.3%
Predicted Value
10.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Bruce Reville (Brisbane Lions) Under 12.5 Disposals (-122)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bruce Reville's recent away performance, averaging 10 disposals in the last five games, aligns with the model's prediction of 10.1. With a standard deviation of 5, his consistency and lower-end average suggest a safer bet on the under 12.5 line. Reville's disposals against the Geelong Cats and in away games have been below this line, making the under a favorable choice. His hit rates and streaks also indicate a trend toward meeting or falling short of this mark. Additionally, his turnovers and contested possessions may impact his total disposals. Betting under 12.5 on Reville with sportsbet presents a 13.3% edge, reflecting a higher probability of this outcome.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Under -122 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Bruce Reville (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Bruce Reville is Under 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.