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AFL

Christian Petracca

Gold Coast SUNS

+17.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 26.5 -112 (1.89)
+17.7% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 21 Mar, 2:15AM
Model Probability
70.6%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+17.7%
Predicted Value
23.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Christian Petracca (Gold Coast SUNS) Under 26.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Christian Petracca's recent form, it's clear he's been a force to be reckoned with, consistently racking up the disposals. However, in his last five away games, he's averaged 24.6 disposals, just shy of the 26.5 line set for this matchup against Richmond. Despite facing the Tigers before and notching 25.7 disposals, he's been slightly below his average against them. With his current form showing a hit rate of 10/15 on away games and aiming for Under 26.5, the data suggests he might fall just short this time. Petracca's efficiency and impact are undeniable, but the numbers hint at a more controlled performance in this clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 26.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 24.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ St Kilda Saints Goals Pending

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About This Player

Christian Petracca (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Christian Petracca is Under 26.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 21 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.