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AFL

Christian Petracca

Gold Coast SUNS

+0.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -455 (1.22)
+0.5% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 12 Jun, 9:40AM
Model Probability
82.4%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+0.5%
Predicted Value
25.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Christian Petracca (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 20.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable ball magnets, Christian Petracca shines. Set to face the Geelong Cats on their turf, Petracca's recent form is nothing short of impressive. Over his last five away games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a solid 26.4 touches per game. Against this same opponent, he's maintained a high level, averaging 25.2 disposals. With his contested possessions sitting at a sturdy 11.2 and a knack for efficient ball use at 71.4%, Petracca is poised to control the midfield battle. Add in his consistent hit rates, including an 8/9 away game success and an overall rate of 17/19, and it's clear why backing Petracca to surpass 20.5 disposals is a smart wager for punters eyeing a steady return in this upcoming clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 26.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
06 Mar 26 Geelong Cats @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 24.5 Under -108 ✗ MISS
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Christian Petracca (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Christian Petracca is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.5% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Geelong Cats on Friday 12 June at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.