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AFL

Connor O'Sullivan

Geelong Cats

+3.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -192 (1.52)
+3.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
68.9%
Implied Probability
65.8%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
12.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-192)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Connor O'Sullivan has been consistent with an average of 10.2 disposals in his last five home games. Facing Brisbane, he has historically performed even better, averaging 13 disposals in their last five encounters. With a model predicting him at 12 disposals, there is a statistically significant edge to support this bet. O'Sullivan's strong dispossession efficiency of 75.2% at home and a low turnover rate of 1.4 add to his reliability. Considering his recent form, a hit rate of 8/9 in home games, and an overall hit rate of 13/14, O'Sullivan is poised to surpass the 9.5 disposals line comfortably in this upcoming game at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 0.0% (0/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -192 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -167 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Connor O'Sullivan (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/2). The latest model pick for Connor O'Sullivan is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.