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AFL

Darcy Cameron

Collingwood

+19.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 18.5 -112 (1.89)
+19.6% Edge
Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Collingwood Magpies
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Fri 27 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+19.6%
Predicted Value
15.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) Under 18.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Darcy Cameron's recent form at home, it's clear he's been a solid contributor for the Magpies. While he's shown consistency in contested possessions and kicks, his average disposals over the last 5 home games sit at 16.2, just above the bookmaker's line of 18.5. Despite facing the Giants before and averaging 15 disposals against them, his overall disposals average of 16.6 reinforces his potential to fall short of the line. With a model prediction of 15.5 and a strong edge of 19.6%, the data suggests Cameron may struggle to surpass the set mark. Given his recent performances and the matchup dynamics, backing Cameron to stay under 18.5 disposals could be a smart play for this clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 50.0% (3/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 14.5 Over -102 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 9.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 13.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
20 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals Pending
09 Jun 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Melbourne Demons Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Cameron (Collingwood) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (3/6). The latest model pick for Darcy Cameron is Under 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.6% on this pick. Their next game is Greater Western Sydney Giants vs Collingwood Magpies on Friday 27 March at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.