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AFL

Darcy Fogarty

Adelaide Crows

+3.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -238 (1.42)
+3.7% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+3.7%
Predicted Value
12.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Darcy Fogarty (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to hit the Over on disposals, Darcy Fogarty is our man for the job in the clash between the Adelaide Crows and the Western Bulldogs at the Adelaide Oval. Fogarty has been a consistent force in recent home games, averaging a solid 12.8 disposals, comfortably exceeding the 9.5 line. With his recent form showing a strong hit rate of 5/5 in home games, Fogarty's ability to find the footy is as reliable as they come. Against the Bulldogs, he has also shown a knack for stepping up, averaging 9 disposals in their past encounters. With his overall average at 12.4 disposals and a current hot streak at home, Fogarty looks primed to snag this bet and help you back a winner.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 9.5 Over -244 ✗ MISS
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -189 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Fogarty (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Darcy Fogarty is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.