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AFL

Darcy Fort

Brisbane Lions

+12.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -120 (1.83)
+12.7% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
67.4%
Implied Probability
54.6%
Model Edge
+12.7%
Predicted Value
11.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Darcy Fort (Brisbane Lions) Over 9.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Darcy Fort presents a strong case for surpassing 9.5 disposals against Geelong Cats. His recent form, averaging 10.4 disposals in away games and 11.8 overall, indicates consistency. Facing Geelong, he has historically exceeded this line with an average of 12.7 disposals. Despite a slight dip in contested possessions, his overall disposals and efficiency remain solid. Fort's trend of hitting 4 out of his last 5 over this mark, coupled with the model's 12.7% edge, supports a reliable performance. Expect Fort to contribute significantly to Brisbane's midfield efforts, making the over 9.5 disposals bet a favorable choice for this matchup at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -120 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Darcy Fort (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Darcy Fort is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.7% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.