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AFL

Darcy Wilmot

Brisbane Lions

+2.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 22.5 -109 (1.92)
+2.2% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 7 Mar, 8:35AM
Model Probability
54.3%
Implied Probability
52.1%
Model Edge
+2.2%
Predicted Value
23.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane Lions) Over 22.5 Disposals (-109)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to shine in the disposals department, Darcy Wilmot of the Brisbane Lions stands out like a shining star under the Gabba lights. Over his last five home games, Wilmot has been a midfield maestro, averaging a stellar 23 disposals per game. His recent form has been red hot, with an impressive disposal efficiency of 77.7% and an average of 16 kicks, 7 handballs, and 7 intercepts. Facing the Western Bulldogs, a team he has historically dominated with an average of 17 disposals, Wilmot is poised to maintain his streak. With a current hit streak of 3 home games and a hit rate of 3 out of 3, all signs point to Wilmot snagging over 22.5 disposals and continuing his midfield mastery on his home turf.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 22.5 Over -109 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 19.5 Over -227 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 19.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Darcy Wilmot (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Darcy Wilmot is Over 22.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.2% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 7 March at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.