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AFL

Dayne Zorko

Brisbane Lions

+1.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -833 (1.12)
+1.3% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
90.6%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+1.3%
Predicted Value
26.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dayne Zorko's recent form, averaging 25.2 disposals in his last five away games and hitting an impressive 6-game streak, suggests he's in top form. Facing Geelong, against whom he averages 24.4 disposals away and 30.8 overall, Zorko's consistency makes him a reliable choice to surpass the 19.5 disposals line. His strong contested possessions (5 avg) and metres gained (571.2 avg) further support his ability to influence the game. With a model predicting 26.1 disposals and a narrow 1.3% edge, Zorko's track record and matchup history indicate a high likelihood of exceeding the line despite the odds favoring it heavily.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 19.5 Over -833 ✗ MISS
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 19.5 Over -625 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 24.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Dayne Zorko (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Dayne Zorko is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.