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AFL

Dion Prestia

Richmond

+2.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -833 (1.12)
+2.5% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 28 Mar, 5:15AM
Model Probability
91.8%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
21.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Dion Prestia (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-833)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to reliable midfield performers, Dion Prestia stands out as a consistent ball magnet for the Richmond Tigers. His recent form on the road has been nothing short of impressive, averaging 19.4 disposals per game in his last five away matches. Facing the Fremantle Dockers, a team he historically performs well against, Prestia's average disposals against them sits at a solid 29. With a current hit rate of 9 out of his last 10 away games exceeding the 14.5 disposal line, Prestia's ability to find the footy and impact the game is undeniable. Add his high disposal efficiency of 78.4% into the mix, and it's clear why backing Prestia to go over 14.5 disposals in this clash is a smart play with a high probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 66.7% (4/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 15.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 16.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Dion Prestia (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (4/6). The latest model pick for Dion Prestia is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 28 March at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.