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AFL

Ed Richards

Western Bulldogs

+0.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -714 (1.14)
+0.6% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
88.3%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+0.6%
Predicted Value
25.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) Over 19.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Ed Richards hitting the Over 19.5 disposals mark in the upcoming clash against the Adelaide Crows, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, Richards has been a midfield maestro, averaging a hefty 27.6 disposals per game. His ability to find the footy in contested situations (10.8 avg) and make an impact with his accurate kicking (18.6 avg) and efficient ball use (67.5% avg disposalefficiency) sets him apart. Moreover, his recent form against the Crows has been solid, averaging 17.2 disposals in their last encounters. With a consistent track record of hitting his disposal numbers and currently on a five-game hit streak away from home, Richards looks primed to continue his fine form. So, backing Richards to surpass 19.5 disposals at Adelaide Oval seems like a safe bet with a high probability of success.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 70.0% (7/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 20.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 21.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
07 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals Pending
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Goals Pending

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About This Player

Ed Richards (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 70.0% (7/10). The latest model pick for Ed Richards is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.6% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.