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AFL

Gryan Miers

Geelong Cats

+5.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -714 (1.14)
+5.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
93.1%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+5.4%
Predicted Value
21.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) Over 14.5 Disposals (-714)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Gryan Miers is a strong pick for the 'Player Disposals Over' bet. His model-predicted 21.9 disposals exceed the line of 14.5, reflecting a 5.4% edge. Miers' recent form at home showcases consistent performance with an average of 24.8 disposals, exceeding the line comfortably. Facing Brisbane, he maintains a solid 20.2 disposal average against them at home. With a remarkable hit streak of 10 at home and 17 overall, Miers' reliability and ability to consistently surpass the line make him a favorable choice for this bet. The data suggests a high probability of him achieving over 14.5 disposals in this upcoming match at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -714 ✓ HIT
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 19.5 Over -115 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Gryan Miers (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Gryan Miers is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.