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AFL

Harry McKay

Carlton

+9.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -769 (1.13)
+9.4% Edge
Carlton Blues @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Thu 9 Apr, 9:40AM
Model Probability
97.9%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+9.4%
Predicted Value
2.1 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Harry McKay (Carlton) Over 0.5 Goals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to goal-scoring prowess, Harry McKay is a force to be reckoned with. His recent away form showcases his ability to find the big sticks consistently, averaging 1.2 goals per game over the last five away clashes. With a sharp eye for goal, McKay boasts a solid 49.5% goal accuracy, ensuring he makes the most of his opportunities in front of the post. Additionally, his strong involvement in Carlton's forward plays is evident through his average of 4.6 score involvements per game on the road. Facing off against the Adelaide Crows, McKay has historically found the back of the net against them, averaging 1 goal per match in their last five encounters. With a current hot streak of 7 consecutive games with goals when playing away, McKay is in prime form to snag at least one major in this clash. Backing McKay to go over 0.5 goals in this matchup seems like a smart play given his recent track record and form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Mar 26 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Goals 1.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 1.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -385 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Goals Pending

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About This Player

Harry McKay (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Harry McKay is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.4% on this pick. Their next game is Carlton Blues vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 9 April at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.