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AFL

Jake Lloyd

Sydney Swans

+3.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -250 (1.40)
+3.4% Edge
Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks
MCG, Melbourne
Thu 19 Mar, 8:30AM
Model Probability
74.8%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+3.4%
Predicted Value
18.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jake Lloyd (Sydney Swans) Over 15.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jake Lloyd stepping onto the MCG, you can bet on his presence being felt all over the ground. Over his last five away games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a hefty 20.8 possessions. Against Hawthorn specifically, he's been even more prolific, averaging 24 disposals per game. With his recent form showing no signs of slowing down, his consistency shines through with a solid 78.6% disposal efficiency. Lloyd's ability to find the footy, coupled with his precise ball use, makes the Over 15.5 disposals line seem like a no-brainer. Whether he's slicing through the midfield or setting up attacking plays, expect Lloyd to snag those crucial possessions and split the middle with his disposals count.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 100.0% (6/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 15.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 13.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
19 Mar 26 Sydney Swans @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 25 Sydney Swans @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals Pending
06 Jul 25 Fremantle Dockers @ Sydney Swans Disposals Pending
07 Jun 25 Sydney Swans @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jake Lloyd (Sydney Swans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (6/6). The latest model pick for Jake Lloyd is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Sydney Swans vs Hawthorn Hawks on Thursday 19 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.