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AFL

Jason Johannisen

Western Bulldogs

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -333 (1.30)
+0.1% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 10 Aug, 5:15AM
Model Probability
77.1%
Implied Probability
76.9%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
18.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jason Johannisen (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-333)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jason Johannisen is poised to shine in the upcoming away game against Melbourne based on his recent form. With a strong average of 15.8 disposals in his last five away games and a consistent hit rate, he's likely to surpass the bookmaker's line of 14.5 disposals. Additionally, his L5 performance against Melbourne shows an average of 16 disposals, indicating he performs well against this specific opponent. His recent 3-game hit streak away from home further supports his capability to meet or exceed this line. Considering his steady metrics in contested possessions, disposals efficiency, and kicks, Johannisen is well-positioned to deliver a solid performance, making the Over 14.5 disposals bet a favorable choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 25 Western Bulldogs @ Melbourne Demons Disposals 14.5 Over -333 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 14.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
05 Jun 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 14.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jason Johannisen (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Jason Johannisen is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 10 August at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.