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AFL

Jaspa Fletcher

Brisbane Lions

+5.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -164 (1.61)
+5.0% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
67.1%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+5.0%
Predicted Value
21.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) Over 19.5 Disposals (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jaspa Fletcher is a strong bet for Over 19.5 disposals in the upcoming game at Gabba. With a model prediction of 21.7, a 5.0% edge, and recent averages above this line, his consistent performance stands out. Fletcher's L5 home games show he exceeds this line comfortably, averaging 20.4 disposals. Additionally, his 78.4% disposal efficiency and 5.2 intercepts per game highlight his impact. Facing Gold Coast Suns, against whom he averages 18 disposals, Fletcher's current form with 8 consecutive hits and a 3-game home hit streak make this bet appealing. Trust in Fletcher's reliability and home advantage to secure this Over bet at sportsbet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 60.0% (3/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 19.5 Over -164 ✗ MISS
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 20.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
05 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 19.5 Over -179 ✗ MISS
10 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
05 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Brisbane Lions Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaspa Fletcher (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 60.0% (3/5). The latest model pick for Jaspa Fletcher is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.0% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.