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AFL

Jaxon Prior

Essendon

+1.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -588 (1.17)
+1.4% Edge
Essendon Bombers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 13 Jun, 3:15AM
Model Probability
86.8%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+1.4%
Predicted Value
17.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jaxon Prior (Essendon) Over 11.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Jaxon Prior to go over 11.5 disposals against the Melbourne Demons, the numbers paint a compelling picture. In his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 18.8 disposals with a stellar disposal efficiency of 76.3%. His ability to find space and rack up kicks (13.2 on average) has been crucial to the Bombers' game plan. What's even more convincing is his recent form against Melbourne, where he's averaged 13 disposals in away matchups. With a current hit streak of 13 in away games and 11 overall, Prior is in prime form to continue his disposal dominance. Expect him to weave his magic around the MCG and easily surpass that 11.5 mark.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 10.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 11.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 12.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 Essendon Bombers @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jaxon Prior (Essendon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Jaxon Prior is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.4% on this pick. Their next game is Essendon Bombers vs Melbourne Demons on Saturday 13 June at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.