Jayden Short (Richmond) Under 21.5 Disposals (-111)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Looking at Jayden Short's recent away form, it's clear he's been a solid contributor, averaging 18.2 disposals over his last five games on the road. However, facing Carlton, who he averages 19.2 disposals against, might not be a smooth sailing. While Short has been consistent with his kicks (13.2) and metres gained (409.4) away from home, his turnover rate sits at 3.8 per game. With an average of 18.8 disposals predicted for this matchup and a model edge of 17.7%, taking the under 21.5 disposals on Short seems like a savvy play. The trend of 3 out of his last 4 away games hitting below this mark further strengthens the case. Short's efficiency might be high, but the volume could fall just short this time around.