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AFL

Jonty Faull

Richmond

+10.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -222 (1.45)
+10.9% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sun 12 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
79.9%
Implied Probability
69.0%
Model Edge
+10.9%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jonty Faull (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-222)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Jonty Faull is our man for the job in the Giants vs. Tigers clash. Despite averaging 0.8 goals in his last five away games, Faull's hunger for goals is evident, with a solid 1-goal average against the Giants in recent matchups. His scoring involvement is on the rise, averaging 4.4 across his last five away games, showcasing his ability to create and finish opportunities. With an average of 3 shots at goal per game away from home, Faull's attacking intent is clear. Plus, facing the Giants away could provide Faull with the perfect stage to ramp up his goal-scoring prowess. Backing Faull to go Over 0.5 goals feels like a smart play given his recent form and matchup history.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 62.5% (5/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -385 ✗ MISS
28 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -159 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Goals 0.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 Richmond Tigers @ Gold Coast Suns Goals — — — Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals — — — Pending
19 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles Goals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jonty Faull (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 62.5% (5/8). The latest model pick for Jonty Faull is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.9% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Sunday 12 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.