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AFL

Jordan Dawson

Adelaide Crows

+4.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -164 (1.61)
+4.5% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 10 Aug, 7:10AM
Model Probability
66.6%
Implied Probability
62.1%
Model Edge
+4.5%
Predicted Value
0.8 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jordan Dawson (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-164)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jordan Dawson's recent form, especially his L5 average of 0.8 goals per away game, showcases his goal-scoring threat. Despite a lower goal accuracy of 25%, his high involvement in scoring opportunities, with 8.6 score involvements per game, indicates he actively contributes to his team's attacking plays. Facing West Coast Eagles, against whom he averages 0.8 goals in his last five encounters, further supports his potential to find the back of the net. With an implied probability of 62.1% to score, his consistent goal-scoring trend and involvement in creating chances make him a solid pick to snag a goal in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 50.0% (3/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -164 ✓ HIT
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 24.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 25 Port Adelaide Power @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -123 ✓ HIT
20 Jul 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
06 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
06 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows Goals Pending

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About This Player

Jordan Dawson (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 6 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (3/6). The latest model pick for Jordan Dawson is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.5% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 10 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.