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AFL

Josh Rachele

Adelaide Crows

+11.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -263 (1.38)
+11.3% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
83.8%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+11.3%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Josh Rachele, the young gun from Adelaide, is on an absolute tear lately, snagging 2.4 goals on average in his last five home games. With a sharp 65.0% goal accuracy and a hunger for goalmouth action, Rachele's been a real headache for opponents, averaging 3.2 shots at goal and 5.2 score involvements per game. Facing the Western Bulldogs, a team he's already bagged 2 goals against in their last encounters, Rachele's goal-scoring prowess is on full display. His current form streak, hitting the mark in 18 out of his last 20 home games, coupled with an overall hit rate of 17 out of 20, makes the Over 0.5 goals bet on Rachele a tantalizing prospect with a high likelihood of hitting paydirt.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
12 Sep 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Josh Rachele (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Josh Rachele is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.3% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.