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AFL

Jy Simpkin

North Melbourne

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -250 (1.40)
+0.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Barossa Park, Lyndoch
Sat 11 Apr, 2:35AM
Model Probability
71.5%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
21.3 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) Over 18.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to surpass their disposals line, Jy Simpkin stands out like a shining star under the Barossa Park lights. The Kangaroos' midfielder has been in scintillating form at home, averaging a stellar 23 disposals over his last five games. His ability to find the ball in traffic with an average of 7.4 contested possessions showcases his work rate and tenacity. Simpkin's disposal efficiency at 72.3% paired with his 14.2 kicks per game highlights his precision and willingness to take the game on. Facing the Brisbane Lions, against whom he has averaged 24 disposals in their last five encounters, only adds fuel to the fire. With his current hot streak and the statistical backing, putting your money on Simpkin to go Over 18.5 disposals is a bet that just screams value and confidence.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 100.0% (4/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 18.5 Over -208 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 15.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 16.5 Over -435 ✓ HIT
22 Mar 26 North Melbourne Kangaroos @ West Coast Eagles Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jy Simpkin (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (4/4). The latest model pick for Jy Simpkin is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Saturday 11 April at Barossa Park, Lyndoch. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.