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AFL

Lachie Weller

Gold Coast SUNS

+0.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -200 (1.50)
+0.8% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
67.5%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+0.8%
Predicted Value
16.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Lachie Weller (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lachie Weller is a strong bet for Over 14.5 disposals against Brisbane. Despite facing a slightly tougher opponent, Weller's recent form shows consistency. With a solid average of 15.6 disposals in his last five away games and hitting 18 disposals on average overall, he has been a reliable contributor. Weller's recent performance, including a 77.1% disposal efficiency and an average of 2.2 intercepts, indicates his involvement in the game. His current hit streak of 4 and a hit rate of 4/4 further support his ability to surpass the 14.5 mark. The model's prediction of 16.8 disposals with a small margin of error adds confidence to this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 17.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
28 Jun 25 Melbourne Demons @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals 16.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Lachie Weller (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Lachie Weller is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.8% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.