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AFL

Lawson Humphries

Geelong Cats

+3.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -244 (1.41)
+3.8% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong
Fri 12 Jun, 9:40AM
Model Probability
74.7%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+3.8%
Predicted Value
21.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Lawson Humphries (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Lawson Humphries is a prime target for the Over 18.5 disposals in the upcoming Geelong Cats vs. Gold Coast Suns clash. His recent home form paints a picture of midfield dominance, averaging hefty 22.6 disposals in the last five home games. With an impeccable handball game at 6.6 and a knack for intercepting at 6.4, he's the linchpin of Geelong's possession game. Despite the opposition's attempt to contain him, Humphries has been consistent, averaging 15 disposals in his last five matchups against the Suns. With impressive overall stats and a 4-game hit streak, Humphries is poised to exceed the 18.5 disposals line comfortably. Expect him to rack up the possessions and guide the Cats to victory at GMHBA Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
14 Jun 25 Geelong Cats @ Essendon Bombers Disposals 14.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
07 Jun 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Geelong Cats Disposals 14.5 Over -476 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Lawson Humphries (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Lawson Humphries is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.8% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Geelong Cats on Friday 12 June at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.