Levi Ashcroft (Brisbane Lions) Over 14.5 Disposals (-118)
Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing
Levi Ashcroft presents a strong case to surpass 14.5 disposals against Geelong Cats based on his recent form. With a model-predicted average of 17.2 disposals and a solid historical hit rate, his L5 stats showcase consistency. Ashcroft's L5 average of 16.6 disposals in away games, coupled with facing an opponent he historically performs well against with a 5-disposal advantage, supports this bet. His efficiency and involvement in both contested and uncontested possessions indicate a well-rounded contribution on the field. Despite his current hit streak being reset, his overall hit rate remains favorable. These factors suggest that Ashcroft is poised to continue his reliable midfield presence, making the Over 14.5 disposals a sensible wager.