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AFL

Liam Baker

West Coast Eagles

+8.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -217 (1.46)
+8.3% Edge
West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 13 Jul, 6:40AM
Model Probability
76.8%
Implied Probability
68.5%
Model Edge
+8.3%
Predicted Value
23.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Liam Baker (West Coast Eagles) Over 19.5 Disposals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Liam Baker is poised to excel away against Port Adelaide based on his recent form. With an average of 23.8 disposals in his last five away games, exceeding the set line of 19.5 seems likely. Baker's consistency is evident with 10 out of his last 11 away games hitting this mark. Facing Port Adelaide where he averages 17.7 disposals in his last five encounters only strengthens this bet. His current form, with two consecutive away games hitting this mark, further supports the prediction. Baker's ability to maintain high disposals, coupled with his recent performances, makes betting on him to surpass 19.5 disposals a favorable choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Disposals 19.5 Over -217 ✗ MISS
15 Jun 25 Carlton Blues @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 19.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
25 May 25 West Coast Eagles @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 19.5 Over -213 ✗ MISS
18 May 25 St Kilda Saints @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Liam Baker (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Liam Baker is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide Power on Sunday 13 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.