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AFL

Lincoln McCarthy

Brisbane Lions

+11.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -263 (1.38)
+11.1% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans
SCG, Sydney
Sat 14 Mar, 8:10AM
Model Probability
83.6%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+11.1%
Predicted Value
1.3 Goals

AI Analysis

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Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane Lions) Over 0.5 Goals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Lincoln McCarthy's recent form, it's clear he's been a genuine scoring threat, especially when playing away. In his last five away games, he's been averaging a solid 1 goal per game, showcasing his ability to find the big sticks consistently. Additionally, his 50% goal accuracy in these games highlights his efficiency in front of goal. When facing the Sydney Swans, McCarthy has maintained his average of 1 goal per game, suggesting he has a good understanding of how to exploit their defense. With a current hit streak of 1 in away games and an impressive hit rate of 7 out of the last 8 away matches, McCarthy is in a prime position to snag a goal in this upcoming clash. Given his recent form and historical performance against the Swans, backing McCarthy to score over 0.5 goals seems like a smart play for this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Brisbane Lions @ Sydney Swans Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Lincoln McCarthy (Brisbane Lions) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Lincoln McCarthy is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans on Saturday 14 March at SCG, Sydney. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.