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AFL

Luke Nankervis

Adelaide Crows

+3.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -238 (1.42)
+3.2% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 14 Mar, 8:35AM
Model Probability
73.6%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+3.2%
Predicted Value
13.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 10.5 Disposals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Luke Nankervis' performance away from home, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five away games, Nankervis has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 12.6 disposals. Against this weekend's opponent, the Collingwood Magpies, he's been even more prolific, notching up an average of 15 disposals per game. What makes Nankervis stand out is his consistency. With a strong hit rate of 13 out of 15 in his recent away games, he's shown he can deliver when it counts. Despite playing on foreign turf, his track record suggests he thrives under pressure. Look for Nankervis to get his hands on the ball early and often, making the over 10.5 disposals a smart play in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 0.0% (0/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 10.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/2). The latest model pick for Luke Nankervis is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.2% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Collingwood Magpies on Saturday 14 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.