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AFL

Luke Pedlar

Adelaide Crows

+2.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -238 (1.42)
+2.1% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
72.5%
Implied Probability
70.4%
Model Edge
+2.1%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Luke Pedlar (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-238)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Luke Pedlar is red hot at home, notching up an impressive average of 1.4 goals in his last 5 games at Adelaide Oval. With a stellar goal accuracy of 85% and consistent shot opportunities, Pedlar is a scoring machine waiting to explode. His recent form showcases his ability to impact the scoreboard, boasting a perfect hit rate in his last 6 home games. Facing the Western Bulldogs, against whom he has averaged a goal per game in the last 5 matchups, Pedlar is poised to continue his scoring streak. With his high involvement in the Crows' forward play and reliable finishing, betting on Pedlar to snag at least one goal is a smart move that aligns with his recent dominance on the field.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 50.0% (1/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Collingwood Magpies Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Luke Pedlar (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (1/2). The latest model pick for Luke Pedlar is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.