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AFL

Luke Pedlar

Adelaide Crows

+13.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -133 (1.75)
+13.6% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Thu 11 Jun, 9:30AM
Model Probability
70.7%
Implied Probability
57.1%
Model Edge
+13.6%
Predicted Value
0.9 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Luke Pedlar (Adelaide Crows) Over 0.5 Goals (-133)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, footy fans, let's talk Luke Pedlar. The young gun from Adelaide is on a tear lately, snagging an average of 1.6 goals per game in his last 5 away matches. With an impressive 56.7% goal accuracy and 2.4 shots at goal per game, Pedlar is a genuine scoring threat. Facing the Western Bulldogs, who he's blanked in his last 5 outings against them, Pedlar is hungry to break that drought and light up the scoreboard. Moreover, with a solid hit rate of 4 out of 5 in away games and a current 2-game scoring streak on the road, Pedlar is in fine form. Add in his consistent involvement in scores, averaging 3.8 score involvements per game, and it's clear he's in the mix whenever Adelaide attacks. With the odds favoring Pedlar to continue his scoring spree, backing him to kick over 0.5 goals seems like a smart bet for this matchup at Marvel Stadium. Keep your eyes on Pedlar to split the middle and make an impact in this clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 33.3% (1/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Apr 26 St Kilda Saints @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
26 Mar 26 Adelaide Crows @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -143 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Luke Pedlar (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 33.3% (1/3). The latest model pick for Luke Pedlar is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.6% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs Western Bulldogs on Thursday 11 June at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.