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AFL

Marcus Bontempelli

Western Bulldogs

+7.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 20.5 -769 (1.13)
+7.1% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
95.6%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+7.1%
Predicted Value
29.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) Over 20.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to a player prop bet in the AFL, you want a star who consistently delivers, and Marcus Bontempelli fits the bill perfectly. Heading into the clash against the Adelaide Crows, Bontempelli's recent form is red hot. Averaging a whopping 27.2 disposals in his last five away games, he's been a midfield maestro, racking up possessions with ease. His disposal efficiency sits at an impressive 80.9%, showcasing his ability to make those possessions count. Additionally, with an average of 14.6 kicks and 12.6 handballs per game, Bontempelli is a dual threat in moving the ball forward. Facing the Crows, against whom he's averaging 26 disposals per game, the stage is set for Bontempelli to shine. With his recent consistency and ability to impact games, backing Bontempelli to go over 20.5 disposals seems like a smart play for punters looking to snag a win on this player prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 90.0% (9/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 20.5 Over -769 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 21.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 22.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Marcus Bontempelli (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 10 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 90.0% (9/10). The latest model pick for Marcus Bontempelli is Over 20.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.1% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.