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AFL

Mark Blicavs

Geelong Cats

+5.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -455 (1.22)
+5.4% Edge
Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 27 Sep, 4:30AM
Model Probability
87.4%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+5.4%
Predicted Value
15.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Mark Blicavs (Geelong Cats) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Mark Blicavs is a solid choice to surpass 9.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions at the MCG. With a model predicting 15.2 disposals and a 5.4% edge, Blicavs has been consistent, averaging 17.6 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form includes strong contested possessions (9.2 avg) and efficient disposal (75.0% avg). Facing Brisbane, he has maintained a high average of 16 disposals. Blicavs' current hit streak of 12 at home and 2 overall, with a hit rate of 12/13, further support this bet. The data suggests he is likely to continue his reliable performance, making the Over 9.5 disposals a favorable wager.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 0.0% (0/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 9.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
27 Sep 25 Brisbane Lions @ Geelong Cats Disposals 12.5 Over -133 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Mark Blicavs (Geelong Cats) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/2). The latest model pick for Mark Blicavs is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is Brisbane Lions vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 27 September at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.