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AFL

Matt Rowell

Gold Coast SUNS

+2.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 24.5 -200 (1.50)
+2.1% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Sat 13 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
68.8%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+2.1%
Predicted Value
27.0 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Matt Rowell (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 24.5 Disposals (-200)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Matt Rowell is poised to surpass 24.5 disposals against Brisbane. His recent away form boasts a solid average of 26 disposals, exceeding the line. With a model predicting 27 disposals and a positive edge of 2.1%, Rowell's consistent contested possessions (13.2) and disposal efficiency (70.7%) support this bet. His ability to gain meters (423.8 avg) and intercepts (3.2) further solidify his potential to meet or exceed the line. Facing Brisbane, where he averages 17.8 disposals, and his overall 28.2 disposals average, Rowell's trend of hitting 8 out of 9 times indicates a strong chance of continuing his form, making the Over a favorable bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (9 picks) 66.7% (6/9)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 24.5 Over -200 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals 24.5 Over -213 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 24.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals — — — Pending
26 Jul 25 Brisbane Lions @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending
11 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Gold Coast Suns Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Matt Rowell (Gold Coast SUNS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 9 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (6/9). The latest model pick for Matt Rowell is Over 24.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Brisbane Lions on Saturday 13 September at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.