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AFL

Matthew Owies

West Coast Eagles

+9.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -115 (1.87)
+9.3% Edge
Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sun 10 Aug, 7:10AM
Model Probability
62.8%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+9.3%
Predicted Value
0.8 Goals

AI Analysis

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Matthew Owies (West Coast Eagles) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Matthew Owies is poised to snag a goal in the upcoming game against Adelaide Crows based on his recent performance indicators. Despite averaging 0 goals in his last five games, facing an opponent where he averages 0.5 goals at home provides a favorable matchup. His recent stats show an average of 1 shot at goal, 0.6 behinds, and 0.6 marks inside 50 per game. With a solid 20% goal accuracy at home and involvement in 2.4 scores on average, Owies is positioned to capitalize on scoring opportunities. The model's prediction of 0.8 goals, with a 9.3% edge, supports the expectation of him hitting the scoreboard, making him a promising choice for an anytime goal scorer bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Aug 25 Adelaide Crows @ West Coast Eagles Goals 0.5 Over -115 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 25 West Coast Eagles @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -128 ✗ MISS
26 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Fremantle Dockers Goals 0.5 Over -119 ✓ HIT
13 Jul 25 West Coast Eagles @ Port Adelaide Power Goals Pending
18 May 25 St Kilda Saints @ West Coast Eagles Goals Pending

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About This Player

Matthew Owies (West Coast Eagles) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Matthew Owies is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Adelaide Crows vs West Coast Eagles on Sunday 10 August at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.