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AFL

Michael Frederick

Fremantle

+4.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -256 (1.39)
+4.9% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Fremantle Dockers
Optus Stadium, Perth
Sat 6 Sep, 9:35AM
Model Probability
76.9%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+4.9%
Predicted Value
1.1 Goals

AI Analysis

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Michael Frederick (Fremantle) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-256)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Michael Frederick is a strong bet to score anytime based on his recent form and matchup. With an average of 1.2 goals in his last 5 home games and facing a Gold Coast Suns team he's scored against before, Frederick's 1.1 model prediction presents a solid opportunity. His above-average score involvements (4.6) and shots at goal (2.4) further support this bet. Despite a minor dip in goal accuracy (36.0%), his ability to create scoring opportunities with 3 inside 50s on average enhances his chances. With a historical average of 1.6 goals in his last 5 games overall, Frederick is well-positioned to snag a goal at home against the Suns.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Michael Frederick (Fremantle) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael Frederick is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Fremantle Dockers on Saturday 6 September at Optus Stadium, Perth. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.