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AFL

Mitchell Hinge

Adelaide Crows

+5.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -357 (1.28)
+5.1% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Sun 6 Jul, 5:15AM
Model Probability
83.2%
Implied Probability
78.1%
Model Edge
+5.1%
Predicted Value
19.2 Disposals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Mitchell Hinge (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-357)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Betting enthusiasts looking to capitalize on the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs Melbourne Demons clash at Adelaide Oval should pay attention to Mitchell Hinge in the player_disposals_over market. Priced at 1.28 (-357.14), the bet for Hinge to gather over 14.5 disposals appears promising, especially given his recent form. Hinge's last five games showcase an impressive disposals average of 17.4, with a standout performance against Melbourne, boasting an average of 23 disposals in their past encounters. Hinge's consistency is highlighted by his current hit streak, having exceeded the 14.5 disposals line in his last three matches. Moreover, his remarkable track record at home, with a 28-game hit streak, reinforces confidence in his ability to deliver against the Demons. As Adelaide takes on Melbourne, Hinge is positioned to maintain his momentum, making this prop bet an attractive option for those seeking to leverage his form. With Adelaide Oval as the venue, Hinge is set to thrive in familiar territory, enhancing the likelihood of surpassing the 14.5 disposals mark and providing bettors with a compelling opportunity.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
06 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -278 ✓ HIT
31 May 25 Adelaide Crows @ Sydney Swans Disposals 20.5 Under -127 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Mitchell Hinge (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Mitchell Hinge is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.1% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Adelaide Crows on Sunday 6 July at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.