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AFL

Nic Newman

Carlton

+10.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -588 (1.17)
+10.2% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
95.7%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+10.2%
Predicted Value
25.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Nic Newman (Carlton) Over 16.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Nic Newman stands out like a shining light on a dark night. His recent form at home is nothing short of spectacular. Averaging a cool 24 disposals in his last five home games, Newman has been a midfield maestro for the Carlton Blues. Facing off against the Melbourne Demons, a team he's historically dominated with an average of 26 disposals in their last five encounters, Newman looks primed to feast on the footy once again. With his exceptional disposal efficiency sitting at 81.5% and a knack for intercepting the opposition's play, Newman's game is as versatile as they come. Add in his reliable kicking game, averaging 17.8 kicks per home game, and a whopping 468.4 metres gained, and you've got a player who not only finds the pill but also makes it count. Newman's recent hit rates are simply off the charts, boasting a 100% hit rate in his last 12 home games and a staggering 23-game hit streak overall. With the model predicting him to comfortably surpass the 16.5 disposal line, this bet isn't just a shot in the dark; it's a calculated punt on a player in red-hot form. So, when the Blues take on the Demons at the MCG, expect Newman to rack up the touches and deliver a masterclass in midfield dominance.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Nic Newman (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nic Newman is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.2% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.