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AFL

Oliver Hollands

Carlton

+3.9% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17)
+3.9% Edge
Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 29 Mar, 4:15AM
Model Probability
89.4%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+3.9%
Predicted Value
20.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Oliver Hollands (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Oliver Hollands is a standout choice for the 'Disposals Over' market. Playing at the historic MCG, where he feels right at home, Hollands has been a midfield maestro for the Carlton Blues. Over his last five home games, he's been a possession magnet, averaging an impressive 19.6 disposals. Against Melbourne, he's been even more prolific, averaging 15 disposals in their past encounters. With a model prediction of 20.7 disposals, backed by a solid 77.6% disposal efficiency, Hollands is poised to continue his dominance. Add in his current 9-game hit streak at home, and the odds are certainly in our favor for him to surpass the 14.5 disposals line against the Melbourne Demons. Trust in Hollands to rack up the possessions and snag this bet for us.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 75.0% (6/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Mar 26 Carlton Blues @ Sydney Swans Disposals 19.5 Over -114 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 14.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 25 Gold Coast Suns @ Carlton Blues Disposals 17.5 Over -135 ✓ HIT
03 Aug 25 Carlton Blues @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals Pending
24 Jul 25 Carlton Blues @ Hawthorn Hawks Disposals Pending
19 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Oliver Hollands (Carlton) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (6/8). The latest model pick for Oliver Hollands is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Melbourne Demons vs Carlton Blues on Sunday 29 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.