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AFL

Oskar Baker

Western Bulldogs

+2.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -455 (1.22)
+2.3% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
84.3%
Implied Probability
82.0%
Model Edge
+2.3%
Predicted Value
14.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Oskar Baker (Western Bulldogs) Over 9.5 Disposals (-455)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Oskar Baker is the man to watch for hitting the Over 9.5 disposals mark against the Adelaide Crows at the Adelaide Oval. Baker's recent form is red hot, boasting an average of 16 disposals over his last five away games, comfortably surpassing the set line. His ability to find the footy is evident with an impressive 76.1% disposal efficiency and averaging 9.8 kicks per game. Against the Crows, he's been even more prolific, averaging 20 disposals in their previous encounters. Baker's consistency is remarkable, currently on a 6-game streak hitting the mark, making the Over 9.5 disposals a solid bet with a high probability of cashing in.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 25.0% (1/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -455 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 10.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 11.5 Over -164 ✗ MISS
14 Mar 26 Greater Western Sydney Giants @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Oskar Baker (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 25.0% (1/4). The latest model pick for Oskar Baker is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.