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AFL

Reilly O'Brien

Adelaide Crows

+2.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -250 (1.40)
+2.8% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Thu 4 Sep, 9:40AM
Model Probability
74.3%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+2.8%
Predicted Value
12.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Reilly O'Brien (Adelaide Crows) Over 9.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Reilly O'Brien is poised to excel in the upcoming game against Collingwood at Adelaide Oval. With a model predicting him to exceed 9.5 disposals by 2.8%, supported by his recent performance averaging 10.8 disposals in his last five home games. His proficiency in contested possessions (6.8 avg) and disposal efficiency (62.7%) further bolster this bet. Additionally, facing Collingwood, where he has averaged 10.3 disposals in their last five encounters, strengthens the case for O'Brien to surpass the set line. His consistent form, with a 90% hit rate in the last ten games, indicates a high probability of him achieving over 9.5 disposals in this home fixture.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (2 picks) 100.0% (2/2)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Sep 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 9.5 Over -455 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Reilly O'Brien (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 2 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (2/2). The latest model pick for Reilly O'Brien is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Adelaide Crows on Thursday 4 September at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.