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AFL

Riley Hardeman

North Melbourne

+2.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 9.5 -400 (1.25)
+2.0% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Thu 3 Jul, 9:30AM
Model Probability
82.0%
Implied Probability
80.0%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value
14.1 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Riley Hardeman (North Melbourne) Over 9.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Riley Hardeman is poised to shine with a predicted 14.1 disposals, a 2.0% edge. In his last 5 home games, he's averaged 13.4 disposals, comfortably exceeding the 9.5 line. With consistent contested possessions (3.6) and efficient disposal rates (79.9%), Hardeman's 9.4 kicks and 4.4 handballs per game highlight his involvement. His recent 3.8 intercepts and 340.2 metres gained further indicate a strong presence on the field. Despite a slight uptick in turnovers (2.8), his overall performance favors surpassing the line. Hardeman's reliability, with an impressive 8/9 hit rate, and a consistent 5/6 hit rate at home, make him a favorable bet for exceeding 9.5 disposals against the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Riley Hardeman (North Melbourne) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Riley Hardeman is Over 9.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Thursday 3 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.