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AFL

Rory Laird

Adelaide Crows

+18.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 25.5 -115 (1.87)
+18.2% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
Fri 20 Mar, 8:40AM
Model Probability
71.6%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+18.2%
Predicted Value
22.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) Under 25.5 Disposals (-115)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Rory Laird, the linchpin of Adelaide's midfield, faces a pivotal clash against the Western Bulldogs at the Adelaide Oval. Recent form suggests Laird might fall short of the bookies' line of 25.5 disposals. Over his last five home games, he's averaged 24.4 disposals, just under the threshold. While he's a metronome with his 81.1% disposal efficiency, his contested possessions have hovered at 10 per game, potentially limiting his overall output against a tough Bulldogs outfit. Additionally, despite his consistency, Laird has hit this mark in only 5 out of his last 6 home games. With the pressure mounting, expect him to be influential but possibly just shy of that 25.5 mark this time around.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 66.7% (2/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Mar 26 Western Bulldogs @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 25.5 Under -115 ✓ HIT
06 Jul 25 Melbourne Demons @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 24.5 Under -119 ✓ HIT
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 25.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Rory Laird (Adelaide Crows) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 66.7% (2/3). The latest model pick for Rory Laird is Under 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.2% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide Crows on Friday 20 March at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.