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AFL

Ryley Sanders

Western Bulldogs

+3.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -588 (1.17)
+3.1% Edge
Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions
Gabba, Brisbane
Fri 18 Jul, 9:40AM
Model Probability
88.6%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+3.1%
Predicted Value
20.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Ryley Sanders (Western Bulldogs) Over 14.5 Disposals (-588)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Ryley Sanders is a strong bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Brisbane Lions. His recent form, averaging 20.2 disposals in away games and 20.4 overall, exceeds the model's prediction of 20.6. With a solid 87.7% disposal efficiency and consistent performance in contested possessions, handballs, kicks, and metres gained, Sanders is likely to maintain his high output. Facing Brisbane, where he averages 19.5 disposals against them, Sanders' current hit streak of 5 and exceptional 3-game away hit rate of 100% further support this bet. The model's 3.1% edge and Sanders' reliable form make the Over a smart choice for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ Brisbane Lions Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
03 Jul 25 Western Bulldogs @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 19.5 Under -119 ✗ MISS
12 Jun 25 Western Bulldogs @ St Kilda Saints Disposals 14.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
05 Jun 25 Hawthorn Hawks @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Ryley Sanders (Western Bulldogs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Ryley Sanders is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.1% on this pick. Their next game is Western Bulldogs vs Brisbane Lions on Friday 18 July at Gabba, Brisbane. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.